Describing basketball scores using probability distributions

Date of Publication

2002

Document Type

Bachelor's Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Science in Mathematics

College

College of Science

Department/Unit

Mathematics and Statistics

Abstract/Summary

This thesis presents a study on the 1997-2001 Philippine Basketball Association scores. Each of the scores can be presented by its ending and point spread. This paper aims to formulate a gambling strategy for betting in ending using the given data as a model. With the aid of software, distributions will be fitted on the 1997-2001 data and will be interpreted. Results showed that the endings of the 1997-2001 PBA scores are uniformly distributed. For the point spread, an empirical distribution based on the relative frequencies of the point spread of the 1997-2001 PBA scores were devised, since it was proven that the data can be used as a model to predict future outcomes. Using ending and the concept of maturity of chances, the endings (4,5), (5,1) and (7, 8) are deemed favorable. On the other hand, based on point spread and the concept of immaturity of chances, the endings corresponding to a point spread of 6 are deemed favorable. These endings are: (0,4), (1, 5), (2, 6), (3, 7), (4, 8), (5, 9), (6,0), (7, 1), (8, 2) and (9, 3).

Abstract Format

html

Language

English

Format

Print

Accession Number

TU11109

Shelf Location

Archives, The Learning Commons, 12F, Henry Sy Sr. Hall

Physical Description

44 numb. leaves

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