Added Title

DLSU-AKI Policy Brief, 2026-04-066

College

School of Economics

Department/Unit

Economics

Document Type

Policy Brief

Publication Date

4-2026

Abstract

This policy note presents simulation results examining the impact on the Philippine economy of global oil and petroleum price shocks triggered by geopolitical tensions stemming from U.S.–Israel military actions (unprovoked bombing) against the Islamic Republic of Iran. These developments have contributed to significant disruptions in global energy markets, including sharp increases in oil prices and heightened risks to key supply routes such as the Strait of Hormuz.

The analysis considers multiple scenarios, comparing outcomes with and without government intervention to assess the effectiveness of different policy responses under such external shocks.

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Keywords

economic shocks; energy prices; inflation; macroeconomic impact; oil crisis; petroleum prices; Philippine economy

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