Date of Publication

2024

Document Type

Bachelor's Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Science in Statistics Major in Actuarial Science

Subject Categories

Demography, Population, and Ecology

College

College of Science

Department/Unit

Mathematics and Statistics Department

Thesis Advisor

Angelo M. Alberto

Defense Panel Member

Eduardo L. Cruz

Abstract/Summary

The fertility rate in the Philippines has been on a steady decline since the 1960s, aiding in the mitigation of the country’s overpopulation crisis. However, prolonged reduction creates a different set of challenges, including an aging population, a shrinking labor force, and economic instability. This paper investigates how underlying factors contribute to the national decline in fertility and create disparities between regions and throughout years. Panel data analysis was conducted on data collected primarily from the National Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS) to identify trends in the relationship between fertility rates and the potential factors that influence its continuous decline, across the Philippine regions and several years. Findings reveal that the final two-way fixed effects model is the best model compared to the one-way fixed effects model for both region and time effects. Women’s sexual activity has a robust relationship with total fertility rate as it was a significant factor of TFR in all three final models. Women’s desire to limit childbearing and their participation in decision-making for their own health care are also significant factors of the two-way fixed effects model. This highlights the importance of Filipino women's autonomy and fertility attitudes in influencing fertility trends.

Abstract Format

html

Language

English

Format

Electronic

Keywords

Fertility, Human--Philippines; Family planning--Philippines; Panel analysis

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Embargo Period

8-12-2024

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