Date of Publication

12-2022

Document Type

Bachelor's Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Science in Statistics Major in Actuarial Science

Subject Categories

Mathematics

College

College of Science

Department/Unit

Mathematics and Statistics Department

Thesis Advisor

Olivia P. Pagulayan

Defense Panel Chair

Shirlee R. Ocampo

Defense Panel Member

Angelo M. Alberto
Kevynn Delgado

Abstract/Summary

Natural gas is a type of fossil fuel that emits lower levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) compared to other fossil fuels, such as oil and coal. Given this information, natural gas is viewed as a transitional energy source toward clean renewable energy. With the ongoing struggle against climate change, natural gas addresses gaps in carbon reduction plans that renewable energy cannot do, substantiated by issues in infrastructure and policy planning. This paper examines the sustainability of the natural gas industry of the seven natural gas-producing member states of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). It aims to establish natural gas sustainability indicators, evaluate the socioeconomic, environmental, and political factors related to the aforementioned industry of the ASEAN, and determine any intercorrelations among the countries’ natural gas production, consumption, carbon emissions, GDP, natural gas rents, governance indicators, and urban population percentage. Annual data from 2002 to 2019 was used and factor analysis was performed on the multivariate time series data to determine the indicators. It was identified that governance and economic activity are determinants of natural gas sustainability. Among the seven countries, Brunei had the best scores on both governance and economic activity. A secondary analysis was conducted using the Granger causality approach. Results showed that dry natural gas production has the most mutual causality presence among the variables.

Abstract Format

html

Language

English

Format

Electronic

Physical Description

81 leaves

Keywords

Natural gas--Southeast Asia

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Embargo Period

12-20-2022

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