What do general elections mean for the stock market: A Digong effect?: The case of selected emerging Asian markets
Date of Publication
2016
Document Type
Bachelor's Thesis
Degree Name
Bachelor of Science in Management of Financial Institutions
Subject Categories
Finance and Financial Management
College
Ramon V. Del Rosario College of Business
Department/Unit
Financial Management
Thesis Adviser
Kristine Mae Lagdameo
Defense Panel Member
Dulani Jayasuriya
April Beryl De leon
Abstract/Summary
This paper examined the behavior of the stock markets of these selected emerging Asian markets : India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand during their last two recent general elections for the years 2007 to 2016. Moreover, the researchers determined the effects of the 2016 Philippine elections on the stock markets of the aforementioned countries. Event study methodology was used to determine the existence of abnormal returns for the event windows of 61 (-30,+30), 31(-15,+15), 21(-10,=10), AND 11 (-5,+5) days surrounding the election date. The GARCH model was performed to determine the persistence of stock volatility during the elections. Lastly, the Granger causality test was used to determine whether causality runs between the 2016 Philippine election and the stock markets of Malaysia, Thaliand, Indonesia, India, South Korea, and Taiwan. Results have shown that abnormal returns and stock volatility were found in all the emerging Asian markets during their respective general elections. Also, a unidirectional casual relationship runs from the Philippines to Malaysia, Thailand, and South Korea. Together, these findings suggest that the selected emerging Asian markets exhibit semi-strong form of market efficiency because they are sensitive to political risks, macroeconomic conditions, and news affecting the Asian region.
Abstract Format
html
Language
English
Format
Accession Number
TU19483
Shelf Location
Archives, The Learning Commons, 12F, Henry Sy Sr. Hall
Physical Description
177, 4 leaves : illustrations ; 29 cm. + 1 computer disc ; 4 3/4 in.
Keywords
Stock exchanges and current events--Asia
Recommended Citation
Du, T., Remiter, J. C., & Uy, L. C. (2016). What do general elections mean for the stock market: A Digong effect?: The case of selected emerging Asian markets. Retrieved from https://animorepository.dlsu.edu.ph/etd_bachelors/9029
