Spatio-temporal analysis of the distribution of reported dengue incidence in the National Capital Region

Date of Publication

2014

Document Type

Bachelor's Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Science in Mathematics

Subject Categories

Physical Sciences and Mathematics

College

College of Science

Department/Unit

Mathematics and Statistics

Abstract/Summary

The World Health Organization's Global Strategy for Dengue Prevention and Control states that effective disease monitoring and prediction through epidemiological surveillance can reduce the morbidity rate of dengue fever. This study aims to analyze the spatial distribution of dengue incidences in the National Capital Region, across four years of reported dengue cases. The analyses identified significant clustering of dengue incidence using Moran'

s I, and revealed that the northern cities of NCR, such as Caloocan, Malabon, Navotas and Valenzuela, exhibited high spatial autocorrelation using local Moran's I and spatial scan statistics. A temporal analysis of the results also suggested movement in dengue incidence through time, from the northwest cities spreading to the northeast cities. Results of these analyses will be able to provide policymakers and health experts with a basis for which they can properly allocate funds and resources for the prevention and treatment of dengue fever.

Abstract Format

html

Language

English

Format

Electronic

Accession Number

CDTU019201

Shelf Location

Archives, The Learning Commons, 12F, Henry Sy Sr. Hall

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