A causal test on the relations among selected stock returns, 91-day t-bill interest rates, and inflation: An application of Granger causality (1995-1999)

Date of Publication

2000

Document Type

Bachelor's Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Science in Commerce Major in Management of Financial Institutions

College

Ramon V. Del Rosario College of Business

Department/Unit

Financial Management

Abstract/Summary

The primary concern of this study is to examine the causal relation between the selected economic indicators namely the variable Stock Returns, Inflation rates and 91-day treasury bill Interest rates for the Philippines. The exercise used a causality model made by C.W. Granger to jointly examine the relations of these variables. Granger causality test was performed to analyze the nature of the feedback relationships between the various pairs of variables.

The results of the Granger Causality test suggest that the past data of 91-day Treasury Bill Interest rate has predictive power over the future values of Inflation. And that, Inflation has a predictive power over the Stock returns of banks and oil.

Abstract Format

html

Language

English

Format

Print

Accession Number

TU10206

Shelf Location

Archives, The Learning Commons, 12F, Henry Sy Sr. Hall

Physical Description

45 numb. leaves

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