Exploratory analysis of the probability of ruin

Date of Publication

1996

Document Type

Bachelor's Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Science in Mathematics

College

College of Science

Department/Unit

Mathematics and Statistics

Abstract/Summary

This paper presents essential elements of the theory of risk. Collective risk models over an extended period are developed using these elements. Resulting models provide answers as to what is the probability that the business will ever be ruined at a certain time. These findings can be used to provide an early warning system for the management of an insurance organization.The study deals mainly with the exploratory analysis of the probability of ruin as a consequence of the initial surplus. It presents the probability of ruin for the continuous time case and discrete time case. A general model which allows correlation between claims is also presented.

Abstract Format

html

Language

English

Format

Print

Accession Number

TU07435

Shelf Location

Archives, The Learning Commons, 12F, Henry Sy Sr. Hall

Physical Description

81 leaves

Keywords

Probabilities; Time-series analysis; Insurance--Statistical methods; Risk (Insurance)

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