Spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal analysis of tuberculosis in the National Capital Region, 2011-2015

Date of Publication

2016

Document Type

Bachelor's Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Science in Statistics Major in Actuarial Science

Subject Categories

Statistics and Probability

College

College of Science

Department/Unit

Mathematics and Statistics

Thesis Adviser

Frumencio F. Co

Abstract/Summary

Tuberculosis in the Philippines remains a major health problem despite the government's effort to eradicate the problem. Having an insight on the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal distributions of TB in the National Capital Region is necessary to effectively monitor and control the disease so as to possibly eliminate TB in the future. Using Empirical Bayes smoothed quarterly TB incidence rates per 10,000 individuals from 2011-2015, this study analyzed the presence of spatial autocorrelation of the TB incidence rates in NCR using global Moran's I. Also, significant spatial clusters of TB cases in NCR were identified through the use of local Moran's I and Kulldorff's spatial-scan statistic. Results showed that high TB incidence occurred in the cities that were located in the northwestern part of the region such as Navotas, Malabon, and Valenzuela. Results of the temporal analysis showed that the TB incidence rate generally increased from 2011-2015. Lastly, results of the spatiotemporal analysis, which identified the spread of the disease through time, from the northwestern part of NCR showed that the disease slowly made its way to the southeastern part of the NCR.

Abstract Format

html

Language

English

Format

Electronic

Accession Number

CDTU021096

Shelf Location

Archives, The Learning Commons, 12F, Henry Sy Sr. Hall

Physical Description

1 computer disc ; 4 3/4 in.

Keywords

Tuberculosis--Philippines--Manila; Tuberculosis--Diagnosis--Philippines--Manila; Bayesian statistical decision theory

Embargo Period

5-12-2021

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